Access Type

Open Access Dissertation

Date of Award

January 2025

Degree Type

Dissertation

Degree Name

Ph.D.

Department

Economics

First Advisor

Liang Hu

Abstract

This study examines price volatility spillovers between two major world crude oil benchmarks, WTI and Brent, as well as between WTI and its refinery products using daily data from 1987 to 2023. The analysis focuses on two key phenomena: the financialization of commodity markets and the fracking revolution. To capture these dynamics, the study employs two models: the BEKK-GARCH model by Engle and Kroner (1995) and the D-Y volatility index by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012). Findings reveal that both phenomena significantly influence the direction and magnitude of volatility spillovers between these markets. Specifically, results from the D-Y index show that financialization reversed the spillover direction. During the pre-financialization period, WTI acted as a net sender of volatility while Brent was the net receiver, a relationship that flipped in the post-financialization era. Additionally, we checked volatility spillover between WTI and its by-products in the United States. The results show that the heating oil market is the primary sender of volatility to WTI and gasoline markets in all sample sub-periods.

Included in

Economics Commons

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