Reliability Estimation of Complex Numerical Problems Using Modified Conditional Expectation Method
A simulation-based structural reliability analysis method is presented. It is intended as an alternate approach to estimate reliability for problems for which most-probable point of failure methods fail and when computational resources are limited. The proposed method combines conditional expectation and estimating the PDF or CDF of a selected portion of the limit state. In the proposed approach, complex limit state functions are simplified to two random variable problems. The success of the simplification depends on the quality of the CDF estimate. Results indicate that the method may provide accurate and efficient solutions for some difficult reliability problems.
Applied Mechanics | Computer-Aided Engineering and Design | Structural Engineering
Eamon, C. D., and Charumas, B. (2011). "Reliability estimation of complex numerical problems using modified conditional expectation method." Computers and Structures, 89(1-2), 181-188, doi: 10.1016/j.compstruc.2010.09.002
Applied Mechanics Commons, Computer-Aided Engineering and Design Commons, Structural Engineering Commons
NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Computers and Structures. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Computers and Structures, 89(1-2), (2011), available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.compstruc.2010.09.002