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Abstract

The statistical inference drawn from the difference between two independent Poisson parameters is often discussed in medical literature. Kawasaki and Miyaoka (2012) proposed an index θ = P(λ1,post < λ2,post), where λ1,post and λ2,post denote Poisson parameters following posterior density. A new calculation method is proposed using MCMC and an approximate expression and exact expression for θ are compared.

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